日本军事升级计划引发对亚洲安全的担忧_风闻

转载自：中国日报

Japan military upgrade plans spark concerns for Asia security, experts say

By WANG XU in Tokyo and ZHAO RUINAN in Beijing | China Daily | Updated: 2022-08-23 10:00Reports that Japan may deploy long-range missiles to counter China have alarmed experts, who say the country is aggressively moving away from peaceful development and its pacifist Constitution.

The Yomiuri Shimbun newspaper on Sunday reported that Japan is seeking to deploy 1,000 long-range missiles in addition to its stockpile of anti-ballistic missiles to boost its counterattack capability against China, citing unidentified government sources.

The report is significant because Japan’s pacifist Constitution forbids it from having weapons that can strike targets on foreign soil. A source quoted in the report directly named China as the reason for the deployment of such missiles. Officials are usually more guarded on linking upgrades in military capabilities to Japan’s perceived concerns over China.

“This is a very regrettable signal,” said Atsushi Koketsu, emeritus professor at Yamaguchi University of Japan. Adherence to the pacifist Constitution and striving to achieve historical reconciliation with China, South Korea and other Asian neighbors should be a priority of Japan, the scholar said.

Koketsu said Japan’s past militarism had caused great harm to its Asian neighbors and to Japanese as well. Only by correctly understanding its history of aggression can Japan avoid repeating the same mistakes.

“However, since the end of World War II, Japan has never truly completed the task of reflecting on its historical guilt,” Koketsu said. “The Japanese government has not yet fully realized that Japan should bear the historical responsibility for launching wars and colonial rule.

“The right-wing conservatives intensified the situation as they continue to spread the wrong historical cognition of denying the war of aggression in Japanese society while demanding the revision of the pacifist Constitution. They also hope to follow the United States and engage in major power confrontations in the region.”

Koketsu said Japan’s heavy bet on its alliance with the US and its strategy of moving closer to NATO has created the potential for war in the Asia-Pacific region.

“Japan is an Asian country and has the responsibility to maintain peace and stability in the Asian region,” Koketsu said. “The stability of the relationship between Japan and China is crucial to creating a peaceful future in Asia, and countries in the region also want this.”

Lan Shunzheng, a member of the Chinese Institute of Command and Control, a think tank on defense and military technology based in Beijing, said the reports of Japan’s missile plans are jangling nerves in neighboring countries.

Of Japan’s reported missile plans, Lan said: “Japan is pursuing a greater military presence. If this time it succeeds, it will deploy more. If it keeps doing so, a new arms race could be triggered, bringing more chaos into the region.”

Lan said the reports also signaled Japan’s long-term pursuit of military expansion, especially when it comes to offensive weapons.

“It not only violates the spirit of its pacifist Constitution, but also ratchets up geopolitical tensions,” Lan said.

以下为译文：

专家称日本军事升级计划引发对亚洲安全的担忧

有关日本可能部署远程导弹来对付中国的报道引起了专家们的警觉，他们说日本正在积极地偏离和平发展和和平宪法。

编辑日本《读卖新闻》周日援引身份不明的政府消息人士的话报道，日本正在寻求在其反弹道导弹储备之外部署1000枚远程导弹，以增强其对中国的反击能力。

这份报告意义重大，因为日本的和平宪法禁止其拥有可以打击外国领土目标的武器。报道中引用的一位消息人士直接点名中国是部署此类导弹的原因。在将军事能力升级与日本对中国的担忧联系起来的问题上，官员们通常比较谨慎。

“这是一个非常令人遗憾的信号，”日本山口大学名誉教授Atsushi Koketsu说。这位学者说，坚持和平宪法，努力实现与中国、韩国和其他亚洲邻国的历史性和解，应该是日本的首要任务。

公克津说，日本过去的军国主义对亚洲邻国和日本人都造成了极大的伤害。日本只有正确认识自己的侵略历史，才能避免重蹈覆辙。

“然而，自第二次世界大战结束以来，日本从未真正完成反省其历史罪行的任务，”公克津说。“日本政府还没有完全认识到日本应该承担发动战争和殖民统治的历史责任。

“右翼保守派不断在日本社会散布否认侵略战争、要求修改和平宪法的错误历史认知，加剧了这一局面。他们也希望效仿美国，在该地区从事大国对抗。”

Koketsu表示，日本在与美国结盟上的豪赌，以及其向北约靠拢的战略，已经在亚太地区制造了战争的可能性。

公克津说：“日本是亚洲国家，有责任维护亚洲地区的和平与稳定。“日中关系的稳定对创造亚洲和平的未来至关重要，该地区的国家也希望如此。”

总部设在北京的国防和军事技术智库——中国指挥与控制研究院的成员兰顺正表示，有关日本导弹计划的报道令周边国家感到不安。

对于日本报道的导弹计划，兰说：“日本正在寻求扩大军事存在。如果这一次成功，它将部署更多。如果它继续这样做，可能引发新的军备竞赛，给该地区带来更多混乱。”

兰说，这些报道也表明日本长期追求军事扩张，特别是在进攻性武器方面。

兰说：“这不仅违反了和平宪法的精神，也加剧了地缘政治的紧张局势。”