国外知乎大VRobin Daverman 关于中国新冠状病毒处理的高分回答_风闻

背景介绍：Robin Daverman 是Quora上少有的中国通，其回答英文标准、数据充分、逻辑严谨，非常值得一读。据说他\她曾经于南开大学留学，汉语流利，从回答中看出具有直接获取中文资料的能力。

1月25日 Robin Daverman 回答了Quora的问题：武汉病毒的爆发和随后的处理情况是否会导致中共的垮台？

这个问题还是熟悉的配方，熟悉的味道，不过Robin还是以惯常水准有理有据地回复了。

Will the Wuhan virus and the subsequent handling of it lead to the collapse of the Chinese Communist Party?

伙计，中国政府这次对病毒的处理方式出奇优秀。除非你是神秘的圣诞老人，否则你无法做到中国政府迄今为止所做的一切。

Dude, the Chinese government has been exceptionally good in dealing with this virus. You can NOT deliver what the Chinese government has delivered so far, unless you are the mythical Santa Claus.

​2014年西非爆发埃博拉疫情，美国疾病控制与预防中心(CDC)第一时间介入试图找出病毒。他们花了两个月时间，才从第一份病人样本中识别了完整的基因序列，此后又花了六周发布这一序列。要知道，基于埃博拉是致死率高达90%的病毒，这是最紧急情况。

During the Western African Ebola virus epidemicin 2014, the CDC rushed in to try to find the virus. It took them 2 months from getting the 1st patient sample to identifying the complete genomic sequence, and then another 6 weeks to publish it. This is Top Urgency, with a virus that has a 90% case fatality rate.

009年猪流感侵袭美国，最终造成五千五百万人感染以及一万一千人死亡。第一例病人于3月底被发现，美国疾病控制与预防中心于4月17日确认病毒，检测盒直到5月中才可供使用。美国疾控中心对此动员了250名研究员，他们中的每人都为此每周工作100小时以上！要知道，美国的疾控中心是世界上最好的传染病研究机构，它每年有110亿美元的预算，共聘有11000个雇员。

The 2009 Swine Flu in the US, which ended up infecting 55 million Americans and killed 11,000 of them, the first cases started to appear in late March, the CDC identified it on April 17, and the identification kits were not generally available until mid-May. And that was 250 people working 100+ hour a week! 2009 flu pandemic in the United States And this is the CDC, the best infectious disease research agency in the world, with $11 billion a year budget and 11,000 employees!

这次中国的冠状病毒疫情？从第一起病例样本到病毒确定、测序，共花了一周。随后他们马上将完整的基因序列发表在了基因库中让全球共享。接着，基于这一序列，中国的生物科技公司入场并在一周后产出了检测盒。这是历无前例的速度。现在，所有该领域的科学家们都在哀嚎：“这些人ta妈的是谁？到底是怎么做到的！”

This Coronavirus in China? From 1st patient sample to complete viral identification and sequencing, 1 week. Immediate publication / deposit in the genomics library for all people in the world. Then based on this sequence, the Chinese biotech companies jumped in and produced validated assays within a week. This is also unprecedented. The scientists working in this field are all going “who the f*ck are these guys and how did they do it” right now!

第一起武汉病人在12月中期入院治疗。随后的基因变样的分析统统指向12月中，单一源头的变异。这说明中国的公共医疗检测系统工作良好，极有可能定位到零号病人，这是令人印象深刻的工作效率。此外，时至今日我们仍然不确定埃博拉和猪流感的零号病人，不过我们有一些可靠的猜测。

The first patient in Wuhan was admitted in mid-December. Subsequent genomic analyses on gene variants all point to mid-December, single-source mutation, which means that China’s public health surveillance is very good, and it most likely caught the very first patient. This is impressive. FYI we still don’t have the first patient of Ebola or the Swine Flu but we have best guesses in both cases.

迄今为止，中国政府已经对武汉市支援了1亿三千万美元、数百医疗团队、几千名医护人员，顶尖的疾病学专家都涌向那里，3000万人被隔离。更不要说他们正在赶建一所专门处理此病毒的新医院。（指提问者）你又贡献了什么？钱、更好的医疗、还是更佳的科学水平？请展示给我们。

By now, the Chinese government has wired $130 million to the city of Wuhan, hundreds of medical teams, thousands of doctors and nurses with top-notch infectious disease experts are rushing over there, 30 million people locked down in city-wide quarantine. Not to mention they are building a hospital dedicated to treating this single virus. What have you offered? More money, better medical service, or superior scientific expertise? Show us then.

掉进河里的人会知道，有跳水游向他们并拉他们上岸的勇士们，也有站在岸边冷眼旁观并期盼他们的淹死能证明某个观点的人，两者截然不同。

People who have fallen in the river tend to know the difference between those who jump in, swim hard towards them and try to pull them up, and those who stay on shore, hoping to see them die to make a point…